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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.88+0.91vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.19+0.13vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.34vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.58+0.08vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.66-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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3.08Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.13Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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3.66Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.08Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.09Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Chavez | 48.4% | 27.2% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Lane | 15.7% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Eleni Varelas | 15.1% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 11.5% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 2.7% |
| John Stack | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 27.9% | 19.4% |
| James Hoover | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 56.6% |
| Chuan Yin | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 21.8% | 29.9% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.