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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.88vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.20+2.76vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.30-0.62vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.52+0.38vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.83-1.23vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Rice University0.9423.2%1st Place
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4.76Texas A&M University-0.207.6%1st Place
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2.38Texas A&M University1.3034.2%1st Place
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4.89Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.207.6%1st Place
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5.38University of Texas-0.525.8%1st Place
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3.94Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3013.6%1st Place
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5.77University of Texas-0.834.3%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.993.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 23.2% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 9.1% |
| Scott Mather | 34.2% | 27.9% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Granberry | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.6% |
| Oliver Fenner | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| Nicholas Carew | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Mark Carella | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Jack Meyer | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.