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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.88+0.87vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.19+1.03vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.58+1.91vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.16-0.92vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.39vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.22-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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3.03Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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4.91Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.08Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.61Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.91Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Chicago-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Chavez | 49.7% | 24.7% | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eleni Varelas | 15.7% | 25.4% | 21.7% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| John Stack | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 28.0% | 24.6% | 15.8% |
| Nick Lane | 16.8% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Addison Amstutz | 9.7% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 24.0% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| James Hoover | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 27.8% | 44.9% |
| Kevin Zen | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 30.0% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.