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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.19+2.04vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.58+2.91vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.88-1.17vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.16-0.89vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.37vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.22-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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4.91Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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1.83Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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3.11Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.63Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.9Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Chicago-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleni Varelas | 16.7% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| John Stack | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 27.4% | 25.9% | 14.1% |
| Amanda Chavez | 49.6% | 27.8% | 14.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Lane | 15.7% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 21.7% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Addison Amstutz | 9.9% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 24.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| James Hoover | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 23.8% | 47.2% |
| Kevin Zen | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 31.5% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.