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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.88+0.83vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+0.92vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.58+1.72vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.19-0.98vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.49vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.42-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-3.35-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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2.92Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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4.72Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.02Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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3.51Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.65Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Chicago-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Chavez | 50.5% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Lane | 16.1% | 26.6% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| John Stack | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 35.3% | 22.8% | 8.1% |
| Eleni Varelas | 16.6% | 21.4% | 24.5% | 21.6% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Addison Amstutz | 10.1% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| James Hoover | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 42.9% | 25.2% |
| Haozhe Shan | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 20.1% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.