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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.19+2.10vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.55vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.88-1.17vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.58+0.96vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-2.42+0.90vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.16-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.22-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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3.55Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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1.83Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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4.96Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.9Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
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3.06Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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5.6University of Chicago-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleni Varelas | 16.7% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Addison Amstutz | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Chavez | 48.3% | 30.1% | 14.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Stack | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 26.3% | 26.6% | 15.4% |
| James Hoover | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 27.6% | 45.1% |
| Nick Lane | 15.7% | 22.3% | 25.6% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Zen | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 29.4% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.