Race 2A

fall-foliage

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
William Dykes 14.2% 14.4% 12.1% 14.0% 14.8% 12.9% 9.5% 6.0% 2.1%
Ben Brown 12.3% 16.1% 14.7% 16.8% 14.5% 10.9% 7.7% 5.2% 1.8%
Michael Rottier 24.6% 21.2% 16.7% 13.8% 12.4% 6.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Pierre DuPont 21.7% 20.7% 18.3% 13.9% 10.7% 8.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Jorge Castro 2.7% 4.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.4% 13.3% 19.4% 31.1%
Amy Macdonald 5.3% 4.6% 7.7% 7.1% 9.2% 13.2% 16.6% 20.0% 16.3%
John Sullivan 6.5% 6.6% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 16.1% 16.6% 15.7% 8.5%
Simon Li 4.1% 3.3% 4.3% 5.6% 7.6% 8.8% 15.0% 18.7% 32.6%
Noah Brayer 8.6% 8.5% 10.6% 12.1% 12.6% 14.8% 14.4% 11.7% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.