Race 3A

fall-foliage

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Rottier 24.6% 20.9% 16.1% 15.9% 9.7% 6.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Ben Brown 13.0% 16.6% 15.6% 14.0% 15.1% 10.6% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5%
Pierre DuPont 21.4% 19.2% 17.0% 13.6% 11.1% 9.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.5%
John Sullivan 6.5% 7.8% 11.0% 9.6% 11.7% 15.8% 13.9% 14.6% 9.1%
Amy Macdonald 4.7% 6.9% 7.8% 9.1% 9.5% 10.6% 16.8% 17.6% 17.0%
William Dykes 13.4% 13.2% 14.6% 16.5% 13.6% 12.1% 9.2% 5.0% 2.4%
Jorge Castro 4.0% 3.2% 2.7% 4.2% 9.6% 8.3% 13.7% 22.2% 32.1%
Simon Li 3.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 7.1% 9.8% 13.6% 21.0% 30.9%
Noah Brayer 8.6% 8.4% 10.7% 11.6% 12.6% 16.5% 13.9% 11.3% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.