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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+3.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+6.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+7.37vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+2.52vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.62+2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.08vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.87+3.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.27+1.02vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-5.78vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-6.46vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.82-0.72vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy4.34-8.14vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-10.93vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.19vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin4.10-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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13.15University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.3Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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15.38Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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14.02Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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15.28Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.81SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Will Stocke | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Matt Foster | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Bernie Roesler | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Gary Herring | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Brendan Hannon | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
| Philip Alley | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Graham Gardner | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 22.0% |
| Robert Vann | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.