Race 7A

fall-foliage

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Sullivan 6.8% 6.7% 10.5% 8.1% 12.1% 16.8% 15.6% 14.4% 9.0%
Michael Rottier 20.7% 20.9% 18.7% 15.7% 11.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Jorge Castro 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 6.6% 10.6% 13.4% 21.6% 31.5%
Ben Brown 14.5% 18.3% 15.2% 17.3% 12.3% 9.0% 8.2% 4.0% 1.2%
William Dykes 14.4% 16.3% 14.7% 12.0% 12.9% 12.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.1%
Noah Brayer 8.8% 8.7% 10.0% 11.6% 15.4% 13.2% 16.8% 9.3% 6.2%
Amy Macdonald 5.8% 3.6% 6.1% 6.9% 10.7% 13.0% 16.6% 19.1% 18.2%
Simon Li 4.0% 3.3% 3.8% 6.4% 7.6% 9.5% 13.0% 21.9% 30.5%
Pierre DuPont 22.1% 18.1% 16.9% 16.8% 10.6% 9.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.