Race 9A

fall-foliage

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ben Brown 15.8% 14.1% 16.2% 17.3% 12.5% 10.0% 8.8% 4.5% 0.8%
William Dykes 9.2% 13.1% 16.6% 15.3% 15.0% 12.3% 8.1% 7.6% 2.8%
Noah Brayer 7.7% 8.1% 11.4% 11.5% 13.4% 14.5% 15.7% 11.3% 6.4%
Pierre DuPont 20.3% 21.8% 17.8% 15.2% 11.1% 7.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Michael Rottier 27.6% 22.8% 14.5% 13.4% 8.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Jorge Castro 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 7.5% 9.7% 12.8% 23.2% 28.9%
John Sullivan 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 13.4% 17.0% 15.7% 13.3% 9.4%
Amy Macdonald 5.5% 5.3% 5.7% 8.1% 10.1% 12.4% 17.4% 17.5% 18.0%
Simon Li 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 8.3% 9.5% 13.7% 19.4% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.