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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+7.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+9.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.62+8.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.12vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+4.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-0.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-0.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+3.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.06vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27+1.87vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+0.37vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.48vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.87-1.90vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin4.10-7.80vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University5.19-13.44vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.82-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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12.87University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.31Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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13.87Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.21SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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15.1Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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5.56Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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15.49Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Bernie Roesler | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gary Herring | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Matt Foster | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 24.0% |
| David Thompson | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Hannon | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.