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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.93vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.30+0.33vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.83+1.84vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20-0.17vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.20-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52-1.59vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Rice University0.9423.2%1st Place
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2.33Texas A&M University1.3034.8%1st Place
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3.9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3012.3%1st Place
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5.84University of Texas-0.834.8%1st Place
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4.83Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.207.9%1st Place
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4.77Texas A&M University-0.207.4%1st Place
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5.41University of Texas-0.525.6%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.993.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 23.2% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mather | 34.8% | 28.1% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Mark Carella | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 27.0% |
| Jacob Granberry | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 10.2% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Oliver Fenner | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| Jack Meyer | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.