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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+7.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+7.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.73vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.23vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+6.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.89vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+1.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-1.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.36vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-1.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-4.28vs Predicted
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14Fordham University4.26-7.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-5.78vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.56vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.59-3.31vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.80-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.09Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.89SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Olin Paine | 10.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 29.2% |
| Hans Henken | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.