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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+8.86vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+6.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+6.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.41vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+4.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+4.55vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89+0.57vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52+0.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-1.40vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.44-1.32vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.60vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-2.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.64vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-2.62vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.93vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-8.58vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.31SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.6Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.38Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.38Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Michael Popp | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Will Holz | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% |
| Charles Rees | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Axel Sly | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 18.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| David Larson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.