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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+7.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.24vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+6.40vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+6.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.44+4.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.85vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89+0.56vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.23vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52+0.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77+1.53vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-1.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.41-4.70vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.88-9.16vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.53Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.84Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Will Holz | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% |
| Axel Sly | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Rees | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 20.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 16.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| David Larson | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.