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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+7.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+7.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+5.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.27vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+2.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-0.51vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77+1.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.30vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-5.10vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-3.81vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.05vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-7.70vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-8.50vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.52-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.27SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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12.5Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Axel Sly | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Charles Rees | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Michael Popp | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 20.1% |
| David Larson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.