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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+8.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+7.44vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+9.33vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44+5.43vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.66vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+5.39vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.16vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.05vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-2.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-1.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-4.92vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.67vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-5.40vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-8.53vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.52-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.43Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 17.3% |
| Axel Sly | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Charles Rees | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| David Larson | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Will Holz | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.