← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.36vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.77+10.76vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+5.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.41+5.60vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.20+5.53vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University3.25+4.46vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.79+1.07vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.88-0.42vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.21+1.62vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.52-0.50vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.73-2.49vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.04vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.44-3.55vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.96vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.98vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.89-8.31vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.72-8.45vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.47-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
12.76Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.08Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
10.53Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
-
10.46Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.07Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.58Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.62Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
9.5Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.51Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.96U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.45Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
-
10.04SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.69College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.55Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.21Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 20.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Axel Sly | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Charles Rees | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.