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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+11.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+7.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+5.34vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+2.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89+0.58vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72+0.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21+1.62vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.56vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-2.91vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-0.97vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.78vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.03vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.44-6.28vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.52-7.54vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.47-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.58Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.3Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 21.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Charles Rees | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Axel Sly | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.