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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+7.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+6.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+6.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+6.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+2.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.17vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.30vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-1.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.77+2.74vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.20-0.22vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.44-1.99vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.41-4.64vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.31vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-8.45vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.74Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.01Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Charles Rees | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 21.4% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Axel Sly | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Michael Popp | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.