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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.30+1.38vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.94+0.89vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.20+1.75vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.83+0.75vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52-1.54vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Texas A&M University1.3033.0%1st Place
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2.89Rice University0.9425.1%1st Place
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4.75Texas A&M University-0.207.2%1st Place
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4.91Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.207.5%1st Place
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5.75University of Texas-0.834.5%1st Place
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3.84Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3013.8%1st Place
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5.46University of Texas-0.524.8%1st Place
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6.01Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.994.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mather | 33.0% | 28.1% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joe Slipper | 25.1% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Drew Gourley | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Jacob Granberry | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.0% |
| Mark Carella | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 25.5% |
| Nicholas Carew | 13.8% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Fenner | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| Jack Meyer | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.