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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+8.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+5.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+4.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+7.32vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.82+8.62vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-0.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.76+2.26vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.62+1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.89-3.76vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-3.22vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.87+1.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-2.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-3.34vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.49-8.53vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin4.10-7.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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13.62Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.87Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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13.91Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.87Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Will Stocke | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Graham Gardner | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 22.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Hannon | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 24.3% |
| Robert Vann | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Philip Alley | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Gary Herring | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Matt Foster | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.