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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+8.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+5.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+3.82vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.89+2.63vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+4.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+2.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+1.43vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.66vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.70vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.42vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.77-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-7.14vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.21-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.61Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.57Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Charles Rees | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 17.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Michael Popp | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 20.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.