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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+7.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+5.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+2.68vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83+0.85vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.29vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+1.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-0.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-1.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.77+0.83vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-2.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-5.34vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.20-5.32vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.89-9.18vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.57Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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12.83Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Axel Sly | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 22.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Charles Rees | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.