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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+8.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.87vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+4.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+4.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.14vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+2.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.58vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.73-3.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.52-3.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-3.70vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.20-4.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.77-3.48vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.89-9.18vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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12.52Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Michael Popp | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 18.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 20.4% |
| Charles Rees | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.