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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.54+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.07+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.77+3.34vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.08vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.71+3.82vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34-0.97vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.36-2.14vs Predicted
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8Rice University-0.97+1.22vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston2.08-5.32vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University1.36-5.14vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.40-4.16vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.42-2.26vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University-0.71-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of South Florida2.540.3%1st Place
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3.56University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Texas0.770.1%1st Place
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5.08Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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8.82Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.03Tulane University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.86Texas A&M University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.22Rice University-0.970.0%1st Place
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3.68Texas A&M University at Galveston2.080.2%1st Place
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4.86Texas A&M University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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9.74University of North Texas-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.82Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Trebilcock | 26.8% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 18.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zelun Wang | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 29.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Hartman | 17.2% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Sims | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 26.6% | 45.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.