Race 3A

kathryn-hammond

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bradley Shaw 8.5% 9.8% 11.5% 12.3% 12.2% 14.8% 13.3% 10.1% 6.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 17.3% 16.6% 16.9% 15.6% 12.7% 10.2% 5.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 13.4% 18.7% 27.5% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 7.8% 8.7% 11.6% 12.2% 14.6% 13.6% 14.0% 10.9% 5.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Trebilcock 28.2% 24.8% 15.7% 13.7% 8.1% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 8.5% 9.8% 11.5% 12.3% 12.2% 14.8% 13.3% 10.1% 6.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Judd 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 14.0% 19.0% 25.1% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 7.6% 9.8% 11.9% 11.5% 13.3% 15.7% 12.8% 10.3% 6.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Trey Hartman 18.7% 17.7% 15.4% 14.5% 14.2% 9.5% 5.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Masie Comen 4.7% 5.1% 6.3% 6.9% 10.5% 12.7% 15.4% 18.7% 16.2% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 13.4% 18.7% 27.5% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Sims 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 10.8% 75.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.