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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.21+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.49+4.12vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.51+1.09vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.51+0.09vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.34+1.68vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.59-0.99vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.59-1.99vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-5.80vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.48-2.11vs Predicted
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12Rice University-1.42-3.34vs Predicted
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13Tulane University-0.39-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of South Florida2.210.3%1st Place
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2.08University of South Florida2.400.4%1st Place
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7.12University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.09Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.09Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.01Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.1%1st Place
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8.89University of North Texas-1.480.0%1st Place
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8.66Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Gates | 30.6% | 32.3% | 20.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 40.4% | 28.6% | 18.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.0% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.0% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kim | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Murphy | 9.5% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Perryman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 32.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaplan | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.