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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.21+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.49+3.72vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.51+0.81vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.89vs Predicted
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6Tulane University-0.39+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.34+1.21vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.51-3.19vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.59-2.21vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-4.80vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.48-2.66vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University-0.59-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of South Florida2.210.3%1st Place
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2.07University of South Florida2.400.4%1st Place
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6.72University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.81Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.1%1st Place
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6.44Tulane University-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.81Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.79Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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8.34University of North Texas-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.79Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Gates | 33.2% | 31.6% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 40.1% | 30.2% | 18.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Murphy | 10.0% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaplan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 24.3% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kim | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Perryman | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 39.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.