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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.40+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.21+0.30vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.51+1.84vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+0.14vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+0.14vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.51-1.16vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.59-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-0.49-1.30vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.59-2.16vs Predicted
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10Tulane University-0.39-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.48-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of South Florida2.400.4%1st Place
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2.3University of South Florida2.210.3%1st Place
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4.84Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.14Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.1%1st Place
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5.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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4.84Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.84Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.84Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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8.36University of North Texas-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanandajian | 42.2% | 29.2% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Gates | 32.6% | 30.4% | 20.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Murphy | 6.3% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kim | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaplan | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 26.4% | 31.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Perryman | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 40.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.