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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+7.21vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+4.58vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.66vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+5.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89+0.02vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University5.19-2.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.82+4.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.92vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.62+0.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-2.93vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.27-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-1.97vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.52-9.48vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.87-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.24Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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6.02Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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13.81Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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11.03Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.19Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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13.46Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| David Thompson | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
| Gary Herring | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Will Stocke | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Philip Alley | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Matt Foster | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 25.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.