← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Buffalo2.44+6.78vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.39vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.84+3.21vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.79+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.47+1.54vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.50-3.04vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+6.10vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.05vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.02-4.61vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College1.19+1.47vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University1.47-0.10vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.31-1.11vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.96vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College0.98-1.93vs Predicted
-
17Villanova University1.59-4.99vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Stony Brook2.59-9.93vs Predicted
-
19Drexel University1.64-7.20vs Predicted
-
20Queen's University0.39-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.78University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.21Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.6George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.54Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.96Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
15.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.05University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
13.47SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.9Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
12.89Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.04SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.07SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
12.01Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.07SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
11.8Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
15.71Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 15.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 23.7% |
| Joe Farned | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Connor Juckniess | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% |
| Peter Maes | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.0% |
| Domenic Re | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Chris Myers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.