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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+6.79vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.84+4.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.79+1.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.02-0.51vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.10vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.59+2.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.90vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.53vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.47-0.17vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.47-5.65vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-9.91vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-4.33vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.31-4.00vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook2.59-9.91vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College0.98-4.82vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.39-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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7.28Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.92Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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13.53SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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12.83Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.67Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.0Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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15.75Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Maes | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Domenic Re | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Adam Keally | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Connor Juckniess | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam Murphy | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.