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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+4.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.36vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+0.93vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.12vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.84+0.30vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.47-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo2.44-3.29vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-0.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.70vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-2.40vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.31-3.06vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook2.59-8.97vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.98-3.83vs Predicted
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19Queen's University0.39-2.92vs Predicted
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20Villanova University1.59-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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5.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.93Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.3Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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12.24Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.3SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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12.6Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.94Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.03SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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14.17SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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16.08Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.66Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joe Farned | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Maes | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
| Adam Keally | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Chris Myers | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Hall | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Connor Juckniess | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 35.3% |
| Domenic Re | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.