← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Buffalo2.44+7.70vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+3.06vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.38vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.02+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.50+0.13vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+8.76vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.96vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.47-0.12vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.01vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.79-3.70vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.84-4.84vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University1.64-0.76vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.98+0.04vs Predicted
-
15Villanova University1.59-2.80vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.31-3.02vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College1.19-3.50vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University1.47-5.60vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Stony Brook2.59-10.98vs Predicted
-
20Queen's University0.39-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.7University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
5.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
5.13Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
14.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.96SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.88Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.3George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
7.16Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
-
12.24Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
14.04SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
-
12.2Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
12.98Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.5SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.4Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.02SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
15.73Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 7.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 22.7% |
| Peter Maes | 4.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Adam Keally | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joe Farned | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Domenic Re | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Connor Juckniess | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.