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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+3.94vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+3.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+3.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.02+1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+2.62vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.84+0.22vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64+4.07vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.47-0.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.90vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.45vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.09vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.59-2.81vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.31-3.09vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.98-2.78vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.47-5.61vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.19-5.47vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.39-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.39George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.22Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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12.07Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.83SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.19Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.91Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.22SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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12.39Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.53SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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15.76Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Adam Keally | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
| Peter Maes | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Joe Farned | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Connor Juckniess | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Liam Murphy | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Victoria Restivo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.