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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+9.95vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+6.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+9.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+4.41vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15+0.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.52-1.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-2.37vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-3.29vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.62-0.76vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-6.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.76-3.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.82-1.19vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.87-2.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-9.96vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.27-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.41University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.24Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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13.81Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.69Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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12.06Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Matt Foster | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 22.6% |
| Robert Vann | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Graham Gardner | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 22.9% |
| Brendan Hannon | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.