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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.89vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+1.81vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.20+1.77vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.30-1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.52+0.42vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20-1.08vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-0.83-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Rice University0.9424.3%1st Place
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3.81Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3013.5%1st Place
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4.77Texas A&M University-0.206.8%1st Place
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2.33Texas A&M University1.3036.8%1st Place
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5.42University of Texas-0.525.1%1st Place
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4.92Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.206.6%1st Place
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5.96Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.993.7%1st Place
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5.91University of Texas-0.833.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 24.3% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Carew | 13.5% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Drew Gourley | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Scott Mather | 36.8% | 26.4% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Fenner | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| Jacob Granberry | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 10.0% |
| Jack Meyer | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 30.4% |
| Mark Carella | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.