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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.94vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+5.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+3.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.47+3.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50-1.09vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+5.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.59vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.19+4.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.88vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.61vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-1.46vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.59-1.90vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-7.00vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-7.52vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.31-4.03vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College0.98-4.80vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.39-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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4.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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12.42Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.23SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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14.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.82SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.54Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.1Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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12.97Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.2SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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15.75Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Hackstaff | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Keally | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| Peter Maes | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Joe Farned | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Chris Myers | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Domenic Re | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Juckniess | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Liam Murphy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.