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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+4.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+6.19vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.73+1.87vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+1.13vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82+3.13vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+0.03vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.23+3.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.87+2.70vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.47+3.05vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.87+0.92vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.33-5.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.77vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-5.94vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.68-2.69vs Predicted
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17Drexel University1.06-5.16vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.19-1.87vs Predicted
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19SUNY Stony Brook-1.11-0.89vs Predicted
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20Villanova University-0.57-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.3%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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5.87Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.13Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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14.05Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Pennsylvania0.870.0%1st Place
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7.41George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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9.06Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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13.31Queen's University0.680.0%1st Place
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11.84Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.13SUNY Maritime College-0.190.0%1st Place
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18.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.12Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Burgess | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 25.9% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Duggan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Engelberger | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Wright | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Stubbins | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Micheal Bell-Wright | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| Tomasz Stefankowski | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 20.0% | 49.3% |
| Alex Heid | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 25.5% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.