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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.67+3.68vs Predicted
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2Rice University-0.23+1.91vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+0.03vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.26-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.15-1.28vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-1.55vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.74-0.50vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Texas-0.679.4%1st Place
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3.91Rice University-0.2314.0%1st Place
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3.03Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2724.8%1st Place
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3.97Texas A&M University-0.2614.4%1st Place
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3.72University of Texas-0.1517.9%1st Place
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4.45Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5510.7%1st Place
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6.5Texas A&M University-1.743.4%1st Place
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5.74Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.135.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Lyon | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 8.6% |
| Arthur Unger | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Polsen | 24.8% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Aronson | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 17.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Macie Bettis | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 7.1% |
| Canaan Cortes | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 49.0% |
| Maddy Lee | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 23.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.