← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.89+5.14vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College4.15+7.02vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University4.52+4.49vs Predicted
-
4Brown University4.49+3.31vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.49+6.26vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.76+4.38vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University4.71-0.43vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.16vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.51vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University5.19-4.83vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.86vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin4.10-2.68vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-1.47vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-0.32vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.62-4.14vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University3.27-3.63vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University2.87-3.24vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.82-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
9.02SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
-
7.49Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
7.31Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
11.26University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.38Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
-
6.57Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
5.17Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
8.14U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
9.32University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
-
11.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
-
10.86Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
-
12.37Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
13.76Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
-
13.67Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Gary Herring | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Matt Foster | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 22.2% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Philip Alley | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% |
| Brendan Hannon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 21.5% |
| Graham Gardner | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.