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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+1.86vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+1.72vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46+0.82vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.07-1.21vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.52-4.25vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.01-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.82-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.72-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.06Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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5.3Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Washington-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 28.8% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 15.4% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cody Odou | 23.8% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Tate Higgins | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 6.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| William Service | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 13.8% |
| Benjamin Greene | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 27.7% | 42.8% |
| Joseph Albertine | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 27.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.