← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephen Moran 28.8% 21.7% 17.5% 13.6% 8.6% 5.2% 3.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabe Hill 15.4% 16.8% 17.4% 16.3% 13.5% 10.5% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Cody Odou 23.8% 21.1% 17.9% 15.8% 11.3% 5.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Eliza Pearce 7.1% 10.9% 12.1% 13.0% 16.3% 15.2% 14.1% 8.5% 2.5% 0.3%
Andrew Wilkinson 7.7% 7.2% 9.8% 9.5% 13.2% 17.7% 17.9% 11.1% 4.7% 1.2%
Tate Higgins 6.6% 5.9% 7.1% 9.3% 11.6% 14.7% 15.9% 17.3% 9.5% 2.1%
Ryan Van Slyck 6.9% 11.9% 11.8% 15.5% 14.7% 15.8% 12.5% 7.9% 2.3% 0.7%
William Service 1.7% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 5.7% 7.2% 13.4% 23.5% 24.8% 13.8%
Benjamin Greene 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.7% 5.7% 13.0% 27.7% 42.8%
Joseph Albertine 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 2.6% 4.2% 7.2% 14.2% 27.4% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.