Race 4A

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tate Higgins 6.0% 5.5% 9.0% 8.5% 10.1% 14.7% 20.0% 16.0% 8.0% 2.2%
Cody Odou 22.9% 23.7% 17.5% 13.9% 10.3% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabe Hill 16.1% 16.2% 16.7% 15.2% 15.0% 11.3% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Stephen Moran 26.4% 22.1% 19.6% 13.5% 10.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Eliza Pearce 9.2% 9.9% 10.5% 14.2% 14.3% 16.0% 14.2% 7.8% 3.2% 0.7%
Andrew Wilkinson 8.4% 7.2% 8.9% 11.0% 14.0% 15.8% 16.4% 12.8% 4.0% 1.5%
Ryan Van Slyck 7.5% 11.8% 11.4% 14.7% 15.2% 16.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Benjamin Greene 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 6.9% 13.5% 28.1% 40.5%
Joseph Albertine 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 3.1% 2.3% 3.2% 6.3% 13.6% 27.3% 40.9%
William Service 1.8% 1.9% 3.6% 3.8% 5.9% 7.0% 11.3% 25.1% 26.0% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.