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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+1.83vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+1.69vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52+0.77vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+0.34vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.47-3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.82-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.01-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.72-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.07-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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5.34Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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2.99Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 30.3% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 15.5% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Cody Odou | 23.4% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 27.7% | 43.2% |
| William Service | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 23.2% | 25.1% | 13.9% |
| Joseph Albertine | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 27.5% | 38.9% |
| Tate Higgins | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.