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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-0.51+3.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.06-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-3.92vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.52-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-1.12-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.87-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.42-7.33vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.40-6.60vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.15-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6University of Oregon-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.58Western Washington University0.060.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Oregon0.760.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Puget Sound-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Oregon-0.870.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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5.4Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Swartz | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Elsa Balton | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 26.7% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Weiler Shafer | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
| Emma Franz | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 31.3% |
| Russell Sutter | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 22.7% |
| Ezra Boyer | 16.7% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Muschler | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.9% |
| Miles Johannson | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.