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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.06+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.76+1.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.15+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.42-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-2.19+1.91vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.40-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.51-2.56vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.87-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.52-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Western Washington University0.060.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Oregon0.760.2%1st Place
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4.1Western Washington University0.150.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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7.91University of Puget Sound-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.13Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Oregon-0.510.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Oregon-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Puget Sound-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Balton | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 21.8% | 24.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Johannson | 15.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Ezra Boyer | 19.1% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Matt Sklar | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 62.9% |
| Alexander Muschler | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Alexa Swartz | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Russell Sutter | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 24.6% | 13.9% |
| Weiler Shafer | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.