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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.67+3.60vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.26+2.09vs Predicted
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3Rice University-0.23+0.84vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13+1.68vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.15-1.19vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-1.63vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27-3.94vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.74-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Texas-0.6710.2%1st Place
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4.09Texas A&M University-0.2613.3%1st Place
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3.84Rice University-0.2316.2%1st Place
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5.68Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.135.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Texas-0.1516.1%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.5512.3%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2723.4%1st Place
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6.53Texas A&M University-1.743.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Lyon | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Zachary Aronson | 13.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Arthur Unger | 16.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Maddy Lee | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 24.4% |
| Dennis Kostjuhin | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Macie Bettis | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Ethan Polsen | 23.4% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Canaan Cortes | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.