Race 3B

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Miles Johannson 10.9% 11.1% 12.9% 13.4% 11.2% 14.2% 13.1% 7.9% 4.0% 1.3%
Brian Hickman 36.9% 26.1% 15.9% 10.9% 5.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Fritsen 15.7% 18.4% 17.1% 16.2% 12.6% 10.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Alexander Muschler 4.6% 5.8% 8.1% 9.9% 12.7% 12.3% 15.6% 14.6% 13.2% 3.2%
Ezra Boyer 12.3% 13.5% 16.5% 14.4% 15.4% 11.4% 7.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Elsa Balton 10.3% 9.9% 11.5% 13.8% 13.7% 11.5% 12.5% 10.4% 5.0% 1.4%
Alexa Swartz 3.7% 5.3% 7.2% 9.3% 10.6% 14.1% 15.6% 15.8% 14.1% 4.3%
Russell Sutter 3.0% 4.4% 6.4% 4.8% 8.4% 9.1% 14.5% 18.8% 20.1% 10.5%
Matt Sklar 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.8% 14.7% 62.6%
Emma Franz 2.0% 4.3% 3.4% 5.1% 7.1% 9.5% 10.3% 16.4% 25.6% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.