Race 4B

outlaw

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Fritsen 18.9% 19.8% 16.7% 13.7% 11.5% 8.6% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Miles Johannson 10.1% 9.2% 12.6% 13.5% 15.6% 13.8% 11.1% 7.7% 5.4% 1.0%
Brian Hickman 34.6% 27.1% 17.2% 11.4% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Muschler 4.5% 5.8% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 13.8% 16.5% 13.5% 11.8% 4.4%
Ezra Boyer 11.8% 14.2% 15.2% 14.8% 15.8% 11.4% 10.1% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Elsa Balton 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 14.7% 13.3% 14.3% 9.6% 11.6% 5.1% 1.0%
Alexa Swartz 3.6% 5.7% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 13.0% 15.1% 17.1% 13.1% 5.2%
Russell Sutter 2.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 13.3% 18.1% 20.7% 10.5%
Emma Franz 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 3.9% 5.6% 10.4% 11.6% 16.9% 25.3% 16.1%
Matt Sklar 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 4.7% 8.0% 15.5% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.