Race 5B

outlaw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Elsa Balton 9.3% 9.1% 12.2% 11.5% 12.3% 11.8% 11.9% 10.7% 7.2% 4.0%
Ryan Fritsen 16.0% 18.6% 16.4% 13.4% 14.0% 7.8% 7.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Brian Hickman 34.9% 24.8% 16.7% 11.6% 7.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Muschler 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 14.3% 14.2% 13.0% 9.8%
Miles Johannson 9.4% 10.4% 11.7% 13.4% 12.8% 14.6% 9.7% 8.2% 7.0% 2.8%
Alexa Swartz 6.0% 5.4% 6.0% 8.1% 8.1% 12.2% 12.4% 13.4% 15.2% 13.2%
Weiler Shafer 3.3% 5.2% 6.3% 9.6% 8.6% 10.4% 13.4% 15.6% 15.9% 11.7%
Russell Sutter 2.6% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 11.0% 13.1% 18.6% 23.4%
Emma Franz 2.8% 2.4% 4.4% 3.7% 5.5% 7.4% 10.5% 12.4% 17.8% 33.1%
Ezra Boyer 10.7% 14.5% 14.5% 12.5% 14.0% 12.8% 8.0% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.