← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.38+0.96vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.72-1.34vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.51-2.03vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.82-2.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut0.19-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
-
4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
-
2.66University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
-
2.97Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
-
3.85Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.17Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 44.1% | 29.2% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 31.9% | 22.5% | 7.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 20.6% | 29.2% | 24.4% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 19.3% | 19.6% | 25.7% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.2% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 26.1% | 23.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| George Williams | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 37.6% | 32.8% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 24.7% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.