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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38-0.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-0.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-2.03vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.24vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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1.97Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.8Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.97Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.17Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 23.9% | 26.4% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| James Beatty | 42.3% | 32.3% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 8.7% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Scott Booth | 18.4% | 20.1% | 26.1% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 32.2% | 21.8% | 8.3% |
| George Williams | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 37.2% | 32.9% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 24.8% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.